Model line
Toledo −8.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Toledo 81%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Toledo home
19%Win probability81%
The model makes Toledo a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wright St. offense vs Toledo defense
| Wright St. O | Stat | Toledo D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#157 | Tempo | #11769.5 |
| 54.3#59 | eFG% | #30954.3 |
| 16.1#150 | TOV% | #10617.9 |
| 32.8#96 | ORB% | #31433.7 |
| 37.4#121 | FT rate | #1826.6 |
| 9.1#155 | Block% | #2747.8 |
| 46.9#307 | Assist% | #13950.8 |
| 54.2#81 | 2P% | #33156.1 |
| 36.4#45 | 3P% | #21434.4 |
| 74.7#99 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#291 | 3PA rate | #16240.0 |
Toledo offense vs Wright St. defense
| Toledo O | Stat | Wright St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#117 | Tempo | #15768.9 |
| 54.5#53 | eFG% | #23752.4 |
| 14.7#53 | TOV% | #17716.7 |
| 29.5#221 | ORB% | #13029.4 |
| 30.5#298 | FT rate | #13733.3 |
| 8.5#105 | Block% | #7011.4 |
| 53.1#164 | Assist% | #2044.6 |
| 54.0#86 | 2P% | #23852.9 |
| 37.0#29 | 3P% | #20734.3 |
| 75.4#69 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#324 | 3PA rate | #32634.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wright St.
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Virginia14 | L 73–82 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Detroit Mercy277 | W 66–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Kentucky217 | W 103–90 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Cleveland St.284 | W 90–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Kentucky217 | W 92–91 |
Toledo
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Akron100 | L 76–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Massachusetts166 | W 77–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Bowling Green192 | W 77–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Buffalo191 | W 99–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Miami OH108 | L 72–74 |
