Model line
Toledo −11.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Toledo 88%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Toledo home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Toledo a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oakland offense vs Toledo defense
| Oakland O | Stat | Toledo D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#50 | Tempo | #11769.5 |
| 52.7#115 | eFG% | #30954.3 |
| 14.7#51 | TOV% | #10617.9 |
| 31.3#152 | ORB% | #31433.7 |
| 38.1#99 | FT rate | #1826.6 |
| 11.7#332 | Block% | #2747.8 |
| 54.9#118 | Assist% | #13950.8 |
| 53.0#130 | 2P% | #33156.1 |
| 34.7#140 | 3P% | #21434.4 |
| 75.1#78 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#296 | 3PA rate | #16240.0 |
Toledo offense vs Oakland defense
| Toledo O | Stat | Oakland D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#117 | Tempo | #5071.1 |
| 54.5#53 | eFG% | #32254.7 |
| 14.7#53 | TOV% | #28015.1 |
| 29.5#221 | ORB% | #32434.4 |
| 30.5#298 | FT rate | #524.6 |
| 8.5#105 | Block% | #1539.8 |
| 53.1#164 | Assist% | #36266.3 |
| 54.0#86 | 2P% | #34257.0 |
| 37.0#29 | 3P% | #20434.3 |
| 75.4#69 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#324 | 3PA rate | #10541.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oakland
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Northern Kentucky217 | L 84–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Detroit Mercy277 | L 89–95 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | IU Indy311 | W 86–74 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 81–70 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Green Bay210 | L 68–73 |
Toledo
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Akron100 | L 76–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Massachusetts166 | W 77–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Bowling Green192 | W 77–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Buffalo191 | W 99–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Miami OH108 | L 72–74 |
