Model line
South Dakota −4.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Dakota 69%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
South Dakota home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes South Dakota a 4.7-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Kentucky offense vs South Dakota defense
| Northern Kentucky O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#58 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 53.2#95 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 16.3#156 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 32.2#118 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 35.9#157 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 7.7#40 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 55.5#101 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 55.5#50 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 33.6#192 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 72.1#206 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#71 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
South Dakota offense vs Northern Kentucky defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | Northern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #5870.9 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #30454.2 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #6718.6 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #23331.6 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #24537.2 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #1529.8 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #18852.6 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #26953.8 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #33436.6 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #22938.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Kentucky
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Wright St.150 | L 90–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Green Bay210 | W 96–76 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Oakland208 | W 85–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wright St.150 | L 91–92 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 81–70 |
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
