Model line
New Mexico St. −1.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico St. 57%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
43%Win probability57%
The model makes New Mexico St. a 1.6-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio offense vs New Mexico St. defense
| Ohio O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
New Mexico St. offense vs Ohio defense
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
New Mexico St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
