Model line
San Diego St. −6.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes San Diego St. a 6.9-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | San Diego St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #13669.2 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #4248.2 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #1920.3 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #20931.1 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #27438.5 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #815.3 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #32358.2 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #1846.2 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #16233.6 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #1247.3 |
| San Diego St. O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#136 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 52.7#117 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 17.2#220 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 29.5#220 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 39.0#81 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 6.2#4 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 54.4#130 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 53.2#122 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 34.5#150 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 73.0#171 | FT% | — |
| 33.8#301 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah St.56 | L 62–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | New Mexico66 | W 64–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Colorado St.83 | W 71–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UNLV89 | W 89–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Boise St.71 | L 77–86 |