Model line
Gonzaga −26.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga >99%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Gonzaga home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Gonzaga a 26.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico St. offense vs Gonzaga defense
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Gonzaga offense vs New Mexico St. defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
