Model line
Illinois Chicago −4.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois Chicago 70%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Missouri St. home
70%Win probability30%
The model makes Illinois Chicago a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois Chicago offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Illinois Chicago O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#240 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 49.8#245 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 17.6#246 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 36.3#22 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 36.2#144 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 10.3#260 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 53.6#149 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 51.0#211 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 31.6#300 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 72.5#190 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#319 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Missouri St. offense vs Illinois Chicago defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Illinois Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #24067.1 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #12750.5 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #3119.7 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #25532.0 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #14833.9 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #5711.8 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #36166.0 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #13050.8 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #14333.4 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #1946.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois Chicago
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | California94 | L 73–91 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drake137 | W 72–51 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Murray St.97 | W 92–79 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Indiana St.212 | L 63–79 |
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
