Model line
Tarleton St. −12.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tarleton St. 91%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Tarleton St. home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Tarleton St. a 12.4-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Missouri St. offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Tarleton St. offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
