Model line
Arkansas St. −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas St. 88%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Arkansas St. home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Arkansas St. a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Missouri St. offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Arkansas St. offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
