Model line
Missouri St. −10.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri St. 86%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Missouri St. home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Missouri St. a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Lindenwood offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Lindenwood O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#11 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 48.0#312 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 18.7#309 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 33.2#86 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 38.6#87 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 9.5#184 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 49.1#260 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 49.6#269 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 29.4#348 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 67.4#334 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#344 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Missouri St. offense vs Lindenwood defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Lindenwood D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #1173.0 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #7249.1 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #7918.4 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #24531.8 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #24937.4 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #10010.7 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #6547.9 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #7649.4 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #8432.4 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #34832.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Lindenwood
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | L 66–68 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Little Rock219 | W 72–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 91–69 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Eastern Illinois358 | L 67–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Tennessee Tech226 | L 57–72 |
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
