Model line
Texas St. −4.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 67%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Louisiana Tech home
67%Win probability33%
The model makes Texas St. a 4.1-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas St. offense vs Louisiana Tech defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Louisiana Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #33764.7 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #5248.7 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #10817.8 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #23231.6 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #22136.3 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #515.7 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #27455.8 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #2246.7 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #17333.9 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #1446.8 |
Louisiana Tech offense vs Texas St. defense
| Louisiana Tech O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#337 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 47.4#330 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 18.3#287 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 36.4#20 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 33.1#233 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 10.2#252 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 48.0#287 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 49.7#265 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 28.5#359 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 67.2#342 | FT% | — |
| 33.4#310 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
Louisiana Tech
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 60–71 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Missouri St.263 | W 69–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Middle Tennessee160 | W 80–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Delaware258 | W 81–38 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Liberty149 | W 76–71 |
