Model line
Arkansas St. −23.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas St. 99%
Projected tempo
73.1
possessions
Site
Arkansas St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Arkansas St. a 23.1-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas Pine Bluff offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Arkansas Pine Bluff O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#43 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 50.0#232 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 18.7#308 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 27.9#270 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 38.4#91 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 8.7#117 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 56.3#83 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 49.8#260 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 33.6#189 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 75.5#64 | FT% | — |
| 37.2#226 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Arkansas St. offense vs Arkansas Pine Bluff defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Arkansas Pine Bluff D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #4371.2 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #24352.6 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #18316.5 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #32034.2 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #34243.6 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #2667.8 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #21953.8 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #28854.4 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #13333.2 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #25737.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas Pine Bluff
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Southern293 | L 81–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alcorn St.340 | W 83–48 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 78–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Mississippi Valley St.365 | L 69–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Prairie View A&M301 | W 84–82 |
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
