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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Southern · #293 · SWAC · 0–0Grambling St. · #326 · SWAC · 1–0Sat, Feb 20 · 12:00 AM ETFredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center · Grambling, LA
Model line
Grambling St. −5.3
Win probability
Grambling St. 71%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Grambling St. home
29%Win probability71%

The model makes Grambling St. a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Southern offense vs Grambling St. defense

Southern OStatGrambling St. D
71.4#37Tempo#12069.4
49.1#288eFG%#9650.0
16.5#167TOV%#1220.8
31.4#146ORB%#28232.5
39.8#61FT rate#30140.0
10.0#242Block%#2907.5
52.6#178Assist%#18652.6
47.7#3182P%#11850.5
34.8#1313P%#9732.7
69.5#284FT%—
32.1#3283PA rate#31235.2

Grambling St. offense vs Southern defense

Grambling St. OStatSouthern D
69.4#120Tempo#3771.4
48.8#295eFG%#27553.2
21.2#357TOV%#6818.6
30.3#188ORB%#21731.3
41.1#47FT rate#33942.9
13.1#356Block%#11010.6
51.6#199Assist%#19652.8
48.9#2852P%#20152.1
32.3#2653P%#33736.7
72.9#172FT%—
38.1#2103PA rate#25137.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Southern

Sat, Mar 14NPrairie View A&M301L 66–72
Fri, Mar 13NFlorida A&M317W 73–70
Thu, Mar 12NArkansas Pine Bluff360W 84–81
Thu, Mar 5AAlabama A&M313W 88–85
Tue, Mar 3AAlabama St.295W 71–64

Grambling St.

Mon, Nov 2NNorthern Illinois278W 89–87
Tue, Mar 10NJackson St.314L 65–68
Mon, Mar 9NMississippi Valley St.365W 77–52
Thu, Mar 5AAlabama St.295W 65–63
Tue, Mar 3AAlabama A&M313L 63–77