Model line
Southern −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Southern 86%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Southern home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Southern a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas Southern offense vs Southern defense
| Texas Southern O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#74 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 49.7#254 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 18.5#299 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 28.8#241 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 38.2#97 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 7.7#44 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 43.2#349 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 49.8#263 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 33.1#224 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 71.9#211 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#323 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Southern offense vs Texas Southern defense
| Southern O | Stat | Texas Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #7470.6 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #24252.5 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #18916.5 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #21131.2 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #34544.0 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #14010.0 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #26255.3 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #25453.5 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #19234.1 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #6543.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas Southern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Alabama A&M313 | L 74–85 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Prairie View A&M301 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jackson St.314 | W 82–57 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Alcorn St.340 | W 92–87 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mississippi Valley St.365 | L 71–72 |
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
