Model line
Southern −8.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Southern 82%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Southern home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Southern a 8.8-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grambling St. offense vs Southern defense
| Grambling St. O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#120 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 48.8#295 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 21.2#357 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 30.3#188 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 41.1#47 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 13.1#356 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 51.6#199 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 48.9#285 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 32.3#265 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 72.9#172 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#210 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Southern offense vs Grambling St. defense
| Southern O | Stat | Grambling St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #12069.4 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #9650.0 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #1220.8 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #28232.5 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #30140.0 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #2907.5 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #18652.6 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #11850.5 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #9732.7 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #31235.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grambling St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Northern Illinois278 | W 89–87 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jackson St.314 | L 65–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 77–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 65–63 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama A&M313 | L 63–77 |
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
