Model line
Fresno St. −11.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 88%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Fresno St. a 11.4-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Southern O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs Southern defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
