Model line
FIU −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
FIU 78%
Projected tempo
72.8
possessions
Site
FIU home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes FIU a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas St. offense vs FIU defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | FIU D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #3171.5 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #26352.9 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #2120.1 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #33434.8 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #20835.9 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #2113.2 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #35462.2 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #17651.7 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #31236.2 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #3045.1 |
FIU offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| FIU O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#31 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 50.6#205 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 17.7#250 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 33.9#69 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 38.6#85 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 8.4#91 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 49.9#241 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 49.9#257 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 34.7#136 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 69.4#286 | FT% | — |
| 32.7#321 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
FIU
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 72–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 92–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 67–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Louisiana Tech282 | W 84–76 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Sam Houston St.171 | L 67–100 |
