Model line
Fresno St. −1.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 56%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Fresno St. a 1.5-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Santa Barbara offense vs Fresno St. defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
