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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Boise St. · #71 · P12 · 0–0San Diego St. · #73 · P12 · 0–0Sat, Mar 6 · 10:30 PM ETViejas Arena · San Diego, CA
Model line
San Diego St. −7.5
Win probability
San Diego St. 79%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
San Diego St. home
21%Win probability79%

The model makes San Diego St. a 7.5-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Boise St. offense vs San Diego St. defense

Boise St. OStatSan Diego St. D
66.6#261Tempo#13669.2
52.2#134eFG%#4248.2
16.9#190TOV%#1920.3
33.2#85ORB%#20931.1
42.7#22FT rate#27438.5
9.8#217Block%#815.3
49.5#255Assist%#32358.2
52.7#1392P%#1846.2
34.3#1553P%#16233.6
78.7#9FT%—
43.1#1073PA rate#1247.3

San Diego St. offense vs Boise St. defense

San Diego St. OStatBoise St. D
69.2#136Tempo#26166.6
52.7#117eFG%#25052.7
17.2#220TOV%#31814.5
29.5#220ORB%#323.6
39.0#81FT rate#10732.1
6.2#4Block%#3445.9
54.4#130Assist%#2345.1
53.2#1222P%#24553.3
34.5#1503P%#20834.4
73.0#171FT%—
33.8#3013PA rate#26636.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Boise St.

Wed, Mar 11NSan Jose St.161L 74–84
Sat, Mar 7AColorado St.83W 78–67
Tue, Mar 3HSan Diego St.73W 86–77
Sat, Feb 28AFresno St.180W 69–53
Tue, Feb 24HWyoming117W 72–62

San Diego St.

Sat, Mar 14NUtah St.56L 62–73
Fri, Mar 13NNew Mexico66W 64–62
Thu, Mar 12NColorado St.83W 71–62
Fri, Mar 6HUNLV89W 89–86
Tue, Mar 3ABoise St.71L 77–86