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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Texas St. · #113 · P12 · 0–0Utah St. · #56 · P12 · 0–0Wed, Mar 3 · 8:00 PM ETDee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT
Model line
Utah St. −14.0
Win probability
Utah St. 93%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Utah St. home
7%Win probability93%

The model makes Utah St. a 14.0-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Texas St. offense vs Utah St. defense

Texas St. OStatUtah St. D
67.3#232Tempo#19168.3
50.0#237eFG%#9149.8
18.6#307TOV%#1820.4
33.9#72ORB%#26032.0
34.0#210FT rate#27038.3
10.1#250Block%#2338.5
48.2#282Assist%#10849.8
50.5#2392P%#5248.5
32.2#2723P%#21534.4
76.2#48FT%—
24.6#3643PA rate#12641.1

Utah St. offense vs Texas St. defense

Utah St. OStatTexas St. D
68.3#191Tempo#23267.3
56.6#16eFG%#21652.0
15.3#92TOV%#7618.5
33.2#87ORB%#8528.4
39.5#70FT rate#28939.1
9.6#204Block%#11110.6
60.0#32Assist%#1343.8
59.8#92P%#15251.1
34.6#1453P%#29435.7
71.0#240FT%—
40.5#1613PA rate#25237.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Texas St.

Fri, Mar 6NSouthern Miss236L 77–81
Fri, Feb 27HAppalachian St.234W 60–57
Sat, Feb 21ALouisiana215L 54–67
Thu, Feb 19ASouth Alabama244W 90–82
Sat, Feb 14HLouisiana Monroe341W 95–84

Utah St.

Sun, Mar 22NArizona5L 66–78
Fri, Mar 20NVillanova47W 86–76
Sat, Mar 14NSan Diego St.73W 73–62
Fri, Mar 13NNevada77W 79–66
Thu, Mar 12NUNLV89W 80–60