Model line
San Diego St. −2.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego St. 60%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
60%Win probability40%
The model makes San Diego St. a 2.4-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Diego St. offense vs Fresno St. defense
| San Diego St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#136 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 52.7#117 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 17.2#220 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 29.5#220 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 39.0#81 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 6.2#4 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 54.4#130 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 53.2#122 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 34.5#150 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 73.0#171 | FT% | — |
| 33.8#301 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs San Diego St. defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | San Diego St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #13669.2 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #4248.2 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #1920.3 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #20931.1 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #27438.5 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #815.3 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #32358.2 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #1846.2 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #16233.6 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #1247.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Diego St.
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah St.56 | L 62–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | New Mexico66 | W 64–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Colorado St.83 | W 71–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UNLV89 | W 89–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Boise St.71 | L 77–86 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
