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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Fresno St. · #180 · P12 · 0–0Utah St. · #56 · P12 · 0–0Sat, Feb 27 · 6:30 PM ETDee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT
Model line
Utah St. −23.7
Win probability
Utah St. 99%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Utah St. home
1%Win probability99%

The model makes Utah St. a 23.7-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Fresno St. offense vs Utah St. defense

Fresno St. OStatUtah St. D
69.4#119Tempo#19168.3
50.6#206eFG%#9149.8
18.1#277TOV%#1820.4
27.9#271ORB%#26032.0
33.8#216FT rate#27038.3
9.8#219Block%#2338.5
49.9#242Assist%#10849.8
52.3#1542P%#5248.5
32.1#2753P%#21534.4
75.1#76FT%—
40.9#1463PA rate#12641.1

Utah St. offense vs Fresno St. defense

Utah St. OStatFresno St. D
68.3#191Tempo#11969.4
56.6#16eFG%#18551.5
15.3#92TOV%#8918.2
33.2#87ORB%#18530.6
39.5#70FT rate#3728.6
9.6#204Block%#3236.6
60.0#32Assist%#15851.5
59.8#92P%#32155.7
34.6#1453P%#2730.7
71.0#240FT%—
40.5#1613PA rate#4744.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Fresno St.

Wed, Mar 11NColorado St.83L 63–67
Sat, Mar 7AGrand Canyon42L 60–85
Tue, Mar 3HSan Jose St.161W 82–68
Sat, Feb 28HBoise St.71L 53–69
Tue, Feb 24AColorado St.83L 70–74

Utah St.

Sun, Mar 22NArizona5L 66–78
Fri, Mar 20NVillanova47W 86–76
Sat, Mar 14NSan Diego St.73W 73–62
Fri, Mar 13NNevada77W 79–66
Thu, Mar 12NUNLV89W 80–60