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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Washington St. · #131 · P12 · 0–0Texas St. · #113 · P12 · 0–0Sat, Feb 27 · 2:15 PM ETStrahan Arena at the University Events Center · San Marcos, TX
Model line
Texas St. −8.9
Win probability
Texas St. 83%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
18%Win probability83%

The model makes Texas St. a 8.9-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Washington St. offense vs Texas St. defense

Washington St. OStatTexas St. D
68.9#156Tempo#23267.3
54.7#51eFG%#21652.0
18.4#294TOV%#7618.5
29.5#222ORB%#8528.4
30.2#306FT rate#28939.1
9.6#205Block%#11110.6
51.6#204Assist%#1343.8
54.6#702P%#15251.1
36.5#403P%#29435.7
74.5#104FT%—
44.8#743PA rate#25237.5

Texas St. offense vs Washington St. defense

Texas St. OStatWashington St. D
67.3#232Tempo#15668.9
50.0#237eFG%#24852.6
18.6#307TOV%#31714.6
33.9#72ORB%#7728.2
34.0#210FT rate#13333.0
10.1#250Block%#2807.7
48.2#282Assist%#9349.2
50.5#2392P%#21952.4
32.2#2723P%#27535.4
76.2#48FT%—
24.6#3643PA rate#27236.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Washington St.

Fri, Mar 6NPortland181L 68–74
Sat, Feb 28APepperdine154L 79–88
Wed, Feb 25ALoyola Marymount136L 66–67
Sat, Feb 21HSaint Mary's74L 67–83
Wed, Feb 18HPacific141W 87–70

Texas St.

Fri, Mar 6NSouthern Miss236L 77–81
Fri, Feb 27HAppalachian St.234W 60–57
Sat, Feb 21ALouisiana215L 54–67
Thu, Feb 19ASouth Alabama244W 90–82
Sat, Feb 14HLouisiana Monroe341W 95–84