Model line
Gonzaga −16.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga 96%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Gonzaga home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Gonzaga a 16.9-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Diego St. offense vs Gonzaga defense
| San Diego St. O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#136 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 52.7#117 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 17.2#220 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 29.5#220 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 39.0#81 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 6.2#4 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 54.4#130 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 53.2#122 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 34.5#150 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 73.0#171 | FT% | — |
| 33.8#301 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Gonzaga offense vs San Diego St. defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | San Diego St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #13669.2 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #4248.2 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #1920.3 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #20931.1 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #27438.5 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #815.3 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #32358.2 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #1846.2 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #16233.6 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #1247.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Diego St.
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah St.56 | L 62–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | New Mexico66 | W 64–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Colorado St.83 | W 71–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UNLV89 | W 89–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Boise St.71 | L 77–86 |
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
