Model line
Gonzaga −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga 69%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
69%Win probability32%
The model makes Gonzaga a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Gonzaga offense vs Texas St. defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
