Model line
San Diego St. −9.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego St. 85%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
San Diego St. home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes San Diego St. a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon St. offense vs San Diego St. defense
| Oregon St. O | Stat | San Diego St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#286 | Tempo | #13669.2 |
| 50.5#216 | eFG% | #4248.2 |
| 17.7#252 | TOV% | #1920.3 |
| 26.8#304 | ORB% | #20931.1 |
| 43.1#21 | FT rate | #27438.5 |
| 9.3#165 | Block% | #815.3 |
| 61.2#23 | Assist% | #32358.2 |
| 48.8#288 | 2P% | #1846.2 |
| 35.0#120 | 3P% | #16233.6 |
| 77.2#30 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#85 | 3PA rate | #1247.3 |
San Diego St. offense vs Oregon St. defense
| San Diego St. O | Stat | Oregon St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#136 | Tempo | #28666.2 |
| 52.7#117 | eFG% | #11850.3 |
| 17.2#220 | TOV% | #26815.3 |
| 29.5#220 | ORB% | #26332.1 |
| 39.0#81 | FT rate | #18035.1 |
| 6.2#4 | Block% | #10410.7 |
| 54.4#130 | Assist% | #27255.7 |
| 53.2#122 | 2P% | #14251.0 |
| 34.5#150 | 3P% | #11532.9 |
| 73.0#171 | FT% | — |
| 33.8#301 | 3PA rate | #10941.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 56–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | San Francisco165 | W 78–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Santa Clara86 | L 72–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | San Diego157 | W 92–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Pepperdine154 | W 83–73 |
San Diego St.
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah St.56 | L 62–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | New Mexico66 | W 64–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Colorado St.83 | W 71–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UNLV89 | W 89–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Boise St.71 | L 77–86 |
