Model line
Fresno St. −0.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 54%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
46%Win probability54%
The model makes Fresno St. a 0.9-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon St. offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Oregon St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#286 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 50.5#216 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 17.7#252 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 26.8#304 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 43.1#21 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 9.3#165 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 61.2#23 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 48.8#288 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 35.0#120 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 77.2#30 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#85 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs Oregon St. defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Oregon St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #28666.2 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #11850.3 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #26815.3 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #26332.1 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #18035.1 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #10410.7 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #27255.7 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #14251.0 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #11532.9 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #10941.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 56–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | San Francisco165 | W 78–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Santa Clara86 | L 72–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | San Diego157 | W 92–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Pepperdine154 | W 83–73 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
