Model line
Boise St. −10.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Boise St. 87%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Boise St. home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Boise St. a 10.5-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas St. offense vs Boise St. defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Boise St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #26166.6 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #25052.7 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #31814.5 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #323.6 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #10732.1 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #3445.9 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #2345.1 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #24553.3 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #20834.4 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #26636.8 |
Boise St. offense vs Texas St. defense
| Boise St. O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#261 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 52.2#134 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 16.9#190 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 33.2#85 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 42.7#22 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 9.8#217 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 49.5#255 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 52.7#139 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 34.3#155 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 78.7#9 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#107 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
Boise St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | San Jose St.161 | L 74–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Colorado St.83 | W 78–67 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Diego St.73 | W 86–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Fresno St.180 | W 69–53 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Wyoming117 | W 72–62 |
