Model line
Texas St. −13.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 92%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Texas St. a 13.4-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fresno St. offense vs Texas St. defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
