HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

San Diego St. · #73 · P12 · 0–0Utah St. · #56 · P12 · 0–0Wed, Feb 17 · 8:00 PM ETDee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT
Model line
Utah St. −10.2
Win probability
Utah St. 86%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Utah St. home
14%Win probability86%

The model makes Utah St. a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

San Diego St. offense vs Utah St. defense

San Diego St. OStatUtah St. D
69.2#136Tempo#19168.3
52.7#117eFG%#9149.8
17.2#220TOV%#1820.4
29.5#220ORB%#26032.0
39.0#81FT rate#27038.3
6.2#4Block%#2338.5
54.4#130Assist%#10849.8
53.2#1222P%#5248.5
34.5#1503P%#21534.4
73.0#171FT%—
33.8#3013PA rate#12641.1

Utah St. offense vs San Diego St. defense

Utah St. OStatSan Diego St. D
68.3#191Tempo#13669.2
56.6#16eFG%#4248.2
15.3#92TOV%#1920.3
33.2#87ORB%#20931.1
39.5#70FT rate#27438.5
9.6#204Block%#815.3
60.0#32Assist%#32358.2
59.8#92P%#1846.2
34.6#1453P%#16233.6
71.0#240FT%—
40.5#1613PA rate#1247.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

San Diego St.

Sat, Mar 14NUtah St.56L 62–73
Fri, Mar 13NNew Mexico66W 64–62
Thu, Mar 12NColorado St.83W 71–62
Fri, Mar 6HUNLV89W 89–86
Tue, Mar 3ABoise St.71L 77–86

Utah St.

Sun, Mar 22NArizona5L 66–78
Fri, Mar 20NVillanova47W 86–76
Sat, Mar 14NSan Diego St.73W 73–62
Fri, Mar 13NNevada77W 79–66
Thu, Mar 12NUNLV89W 80–60