Model line
Gonzaga −11.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga 89%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Gonzaga home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Gonzaga a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Utah St. offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Utah St. O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#191 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 56.6#16 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 15.3#92 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 33.2#87 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 39.5#70 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 9.6#204 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 60.0#32 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 59.8#9 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 34.6#145 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 71.0#240 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#161 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Gonzaga offense vs Utah St. defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Utah St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #19168.3 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #9149.8 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #1820.4 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #26032.0 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #27038.3 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #2338.5 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #10849.8 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #5248.5 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #21534.4 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #12641.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Utah St.
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Arizona5 | L 66–78 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Villanova47 | W 86–76 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | San Diego St.73 | W 73–62 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Nevada77 | W 79–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UNLV89 | W 80–60 |
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
