Model line
Texas St. −3.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 64%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Texas St. a 3.3-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Diego St. offense vs Texas St. defense
| San Diego St. O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#136 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 52.7#117 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 17.2#220 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 29.5#220 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 39.0#81 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 6.2#4 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 54.4#130 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 53.2#122 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 34.5#150 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 73.0#171 | FT% | — |
| 33.8#301 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs San Diego St. defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | San Diego St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #13669.2 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #4248.2 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #1920.3 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #20931.1 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #27438.5 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #815.3 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #32358.2 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #1846.2 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #16233.6 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #1247.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Diego St.
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah St.56 | L 62–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | New Mexico66 | W 64–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Colorado St.83 | W 71–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UNLV89 | W 89–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Boise St.71 | L 77–86 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
