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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Gonzaga · #17 · P12 · 0–0San Diego St. · #73 · P12 · 0–0Sat, Feb 6 · 6:30 PM ETViejas Arena · San Diego, CA
Model line
San Diego St. −1.4
Win probability
San Diego St. 56%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
San Diego St. home
44%Win probability56%

The model makes San Diego St. a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Gonzaga offense vs San Diego St. defense

Gonzaga OStatSan Diego St. D
70.2#86Tempo#13669.2
55.6#26eFG%#4248.2
13.6#16TOV%#1920.3
34.8#52ORB%#20931.1
31.0#282FT rate#27438.5
6.0#3Block%#815.3
57.5#62Assist%#32358.2
58.2#192P%#1846.2
33.3#2103P%#16233.6
70.7#247FT%—
30.8#3423PA rate#1247.3

San Diego St. offense vs Gonzaga defense

San Diego St. OStatGonzaga D
69.2#136Tempo#8670.2
52.7#117eFG%#1546.3
17.2#220TOV%#2220.0
29.5#220ORB%#1625.7
39.0#81FT rate#8230.9
6.2#4Block%#8411.1
54.4#130Assist%#19452.8
53.2#1222P%#2146.6
34.5#1503P%#2430.6
73.0#171FT%—
33.8#3013PA rate#7542.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Gonzaga

Sat, Mar 21NTexas10L 68–74
Thu, Mar 19NKennesaw St.146W 73–64
Tue, Mar 10NSanta Clara86W 79–68
Mon, Mar 9NOregon St.93W 65–56
Sat, Feb 28ASaint Mary's74L 59–70

San Diego St.

Sat, Mar 14NUtah St.56L 62–73
Fri, Mar 13NNew Mexico66W 64–62
Thu, Mar 12NColorado St.83W 71–62
Fri, Mar 6HUNLV89W 89–86
Tue, Mar 3ABoise St.71L 77–86