Model line
Utah St. −5.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Utah St. 71%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
71%Win probability29%
The model makes Utah St. a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Utah St. offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Utah St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#191 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 56.6#16 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 15.3#92 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 33.2#87 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 39.5#70 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 9.6#204 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 60.0#32 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 59.8#9 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 34.6#145 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 71.0#240 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#161 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs Utah St. defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Utah St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #19168.3 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #9149.8 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #1820.4 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #26032.0 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #27038.3 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #2338.5 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #10849.8 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #5248.5 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #21534.4 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #12641.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Utah St.
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Arizona5 | L 66–78 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Villanova47 | W 86–76 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | San Diego St.73 | W 73–62 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Nevada77 | W 79–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UNLV89 | W 80–60 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
