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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Utah St. · #56 · P12 · 0–0San Diego St. · #73 · P12 · 0–0Thu, Feb 4 · 9:00 PM ETViejas Arena · San Diego, CA
Model line
San Diego St. −4.9
Win probability
San Diego St. 70%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
San Diego St. home
30%Win probability70%

The model makes San Diego St. a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Utah St. offense vs San Diego St. defense

Utah St. OStatSan Diego St. D
68.3#191Tempo#13669.2
56.6#16eFG%#4248.2
15.3#92TOV%#1920.3
33.2#87ORB%#20931.1
39.5#70FT rate#27438.5
9.6#204Block%#815.3
60.0#32Assist%#32358.2
59.8#92P%#1846.2
34.6#1453P%#16233.6
71.0#240FT%—
40.5#1613PA rate#1247.3

San Diego St. offense vs Utah St. defense

San Diego St. OStatUtah St. D
69.2#136Tempo#19168.3
52.7#117eFG%#9149.8
17.2#220TOV%#1820.4
29.5#220ORB%#26032.0
39.0#81FT rate#27038.3
6.2#4Block%#2338.5
54.4#130Assist%#10849.8
53.2#1222P%#5248.5
34.5#1503P%#21534.4
73.0#171FT%—
33.8#3013PA rate#12641.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Utah St.

Sun, Mar 22NArizona5L 66–78
Fri, Mar 20NVillanova47W 86–76
Sat, Mar 14NSan Diego St.73W 73–62
Fri, Mar 13NNevada77W 79–66
Thu, Mar 12NUNLV89W 80–60

San Diego St.

Sat, Mar 14NUtah St.56L 62–73
Fri, Mar 13NNew Mexico66W 64–62
Thu, Mar 12NColorado St.83W 71–62
Fri, Mar 6HUNLV89W 89–86
Tue, Mar 3ABoise St.71L 77–86