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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Boise St. · #71 · P12 · 0–0Oregon St. · #93 · P12 · 0–0Thu, Feb 4 · 11:00 PM ETGill Coliseum · Corvallis, OR
Model line
Oregon St. −4.8
Win probability
Oregon St. 70%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Oregon St. home
31%Win probability70%

The model makes Oregon St. a 4.8-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Boise St. offense vs Oregon St. defense

Boise St. OStatOregon St. D
66.6#261Tempo#28666.2
52.2#134eFG%#11850.3
16.9#190TOV%#26815.3
33.2#85ORB%#26332.1
42.7#22FT rate#18035.1
9.8#217Block%#10410.7
49.5#255Assist%#27255.7
52.7#1392P%#14251.0
34.3#1553P%#11532.9
78.7#9FT%—
43.1#1073PA rate#10941.5

Oregon St. offense vs Boise St. defense

Oregon St. OStatBoise St. D
66.2#286Tempo#26166.6
50.5#216eFG%#25052.7
17.7#252TOV%#31814.5
26.8#304ORB%#323.6
43.1#21FT rate#10732.1
9.3#165Block%#3445.9
61.2#23Assist%#2345.1
48.8#2882P%#24553.3
35.0#1203P%#20834.4
77.2#30FT%—
44.3#853PA rate#26636.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Boise St.

Wed, Mar 11NSan Jose St.161L 74–84
Sat, Mar 7AColorado St.83W 78–67
Tue, Mar 3HSan Diego St.73W 86–77
Sat, Feb 28AFresno St.180W 69–53
Tue, Feb 24HWyoming117W 72–62

Oregon St.

Mon, Mar 9NGonzaga17L 56–65
Sun, Mar 8NSan Francisco165W 78–77
Sat, Feb 28ASanta Clara86L 72–93
Wed, Feb 25HSan Diego157W 92–82
Sat, Feb 21HPepperdine154W 83–73