Model line
Colorado St. −1.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Colorado St. 55%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
55%Win probability45%
The model makes Colorado St. a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Colorado St. offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Colorado St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#346 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 57.5#12 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 18.5#297 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 30.0#198 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 39.4#71 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 9.0#142 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 62.9#11 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 57.1#29 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 38.6#11 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 77.0#33 | FT% | — |
| 49.1#19 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs Colorado St. defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Colorado St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #34664.4 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #26152.9 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #24915.5 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #12329.3 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #15534.2 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #3186.8 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #4346.6 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #28154.1 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #19634.2 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #7043.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Colorado St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 64–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Fresno St.180 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Boise St.71 | L 67–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | New Mexico66 | W 82–74 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
