HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Oregon St. · #93 · P12 · 0–0Utah St. · #56 · P12 · 0–0Sat, Jan 30 · 4:45 PM ETDee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT
Model line
Utah St. −11.3
Win probability
Utah St. 88%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Utah St. home
12%Win probability88%

The model makes Utah St. a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Oregon St. offense vs Utah St. defense

Oregon St. OStatUtah St. D
66.2#286Tempo#19168.3
50.5#216eFG%#9149.8
17.7#252TOV%#1820.4
26.8#304ORB%#26032.0
43.1#21FT rate#27038.3
9.3#165Block%#2338.5
61.2#23Assist%#10849.8
48.8#2882P%#5248.5
35.0#1203P%#21534.4
77.2#30FT%—
44.3#853PA rate#12641.1

Utah St. offense vs Oregon St. defense

Utah St. OStatOregon St. D
68.3#191Tempo#28666.2
56.6#16eFG%#11850.3
15.3#92TOV%#26815.3
33.2#87ORB%#26332.1
39.5#70FT rate#18035.1
9.6#204Block%#10410.7
60.0#32Assist%#27255.7
59.8#92P%#14251.0
34.6#1453P%#11532.9
71.0#240FT%—
40.5#1613PA rate#10941.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Oregon St.

Mon, Mar 9NGonzaga17L 56–65
Sun, Mar 8NSan Francisco165W 78–77
Sat, Feb 28ASanta Clara86L 72–93
Wed, Feb 25HSan Diego157W 92–82
Sat, Feb 21HPepperdine154W 83–73

Utah St.

Sun, Mar 22NArizona5L 66–78
Fri, Mar 20NVillanova47W 86–76
Sat, Mar 14NSan Diego St.73W 73–62
Fri, Mar 13NNevada77W 79–66
Thu, Mar 12NUNLV89W 80–60