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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

San Diego St. · #73 · P12 · 0–0Colorado St. · #83 · P12 · 0–0Sat, Jan 30 · 6:30 PM ETMoby Arena · Fort Collins, CO
Model line
Colorado St. −6.2
Win probability
Colorado St. 74%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Colorado St. home
26%Win probability74%

The model makes Colorado St. a 6.2-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

San Diego St. offense vs Colorado St. defense

San Diego St. OStatColorado St. D
69.2#136Tempo#34664.4
52.7#117eFG%#26152.9
17.2#220TOV%#24915.5
29.5#220ORB%#12329.3
39.0#81FT rate#15534.2
6.2#4Block%#3186.8
54.4#130Assist%#4346.6
53.2#1222P%#28154.1
34.5#1503P%#19634.2
73.0#171FT%—
33.8#3013PA rate#7043.0

Colorado St. offense vs San Diego St. defense

Colorado St. OStatSan Diego St. D
64.4#346Tempo#13669.2
57.5#12eFG%#4248.2
18.5#297TOV%#1920.3
30.0#198ORB%#20931.1
39.4#71FT rate#27438.5
9.0#142Block%#815.3
62.9#11Assist%#32358.2
57.1#292P%#1846.2
38.6#113P%#16233.6
77.0#33FT%—
49.1#193PA rate#1247.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

San Diego St.

Sat, Mar 14NUtah St.56L 62–73
Fri, Mar 13NNew Mexico66W 64–62
Thu, Mar 12NColorado St.83W 71–62
Fri, Mar 6HUNLV89W 89–86
Tue, Mar 3ABoise St.71L 77–86

Colorado St.

Wed, Mar 18HSaint Joseph's125L 64–69
Thu, Mar 12NSan Diego St.73L 62–71
Wed, Mar 11NFresno St.180W 67–63
Sat, Mar 7HBoise St.71L 67–78
Wed, Mar 4ANew Mexico66W 82–74