Model line
Texas St. −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 68%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Texas St. a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Colorado St. offense vs Texas St. defense
| Colorado St. O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#346 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 57.5#12 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 18.5#297 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 30.0#198 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 39.4#71 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 9.0#142 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 62.9#11 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 57.1#29 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 38.6#11 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 77.0#33 | FT% | — |
| 49.1#19 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Colorado St. defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Colorado St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #34664.4 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #26152.9 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #24915.5 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #12329.3 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #15534.2 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #3186.8 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #4346.6 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #28154.1 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #19634.2 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #7043.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Colorado St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 64–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Fresno St.180 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Boise St.71 | L 67–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | New Mexico66 | W 82–74 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
