Model line
Gonzaga −33.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga >99%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Gonzaga home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Gonzaga a 33.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fresno St. offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Gonzaga offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
