Model line
Gonzaga −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga 66%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Oregon St. home
66%Win probability34%
The model makes Gonzaga a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Gonzaga offense vs Oregon St. defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Oregon St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #28666.2 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #11850.3 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #26815.3 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #26332.1 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #18035.1 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #10410.7 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #27255.7 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #14251.0 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #11532.9 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #10941.5 |
Oregon St. offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Oregon St. O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#286 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 50.5#216 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 17.7#252 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 26.8#304 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 43.1#21 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 9.3#165 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 61.2#23 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 48.8#288 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 35.0#120 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 77.2#30 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#85 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
Oregon St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 56–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | San Francisco165 | W 78–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Santa Clara86 | L 72–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | San Diego157 | W 92–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Pepperdine154 | W 83–73 |
