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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Gonzaga · #17 · P12 · 0–0Utah St. · #56 · P12 · 0–0Thu, Jan 21 · 8:00 PM ETDee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT
Model line
Utah St. −3.0
Win probability
Utah St. 62%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Utah St. home
38%Win probability62%

The model makes Utah St. a 3.0-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Gonzaga offense vs Utah St. defense

Gonzaga OStatUtah St. D
70.2#86Tempo#19168.3
55.6#26eFG%#9149.8
13.6#16TOV%#1820.4
34.8#52ORB%#26032.0
31.0#282FT rate#27038.3
6.0#3Block%#2338.5
57.5#62Assist%#10849.8
58.2#192P%#5248.5
33.3#2103P%#21534.4
70.7#247FT%—
30.8#3423PA rate#12641.1

Utah St. offense vs Gonzaga defense

Utah St. OStatGonzaga D
68.3#191Tempo#8670.2
56.6#16eFG%#1546.3
15.3#92TOV%#2220.0
33.2#87ORB%#1625.7
39.5#70FT rate#8230.9
9.6#204Block%#8411.1
60.0#32Assist%#19452.8
59.8#92P%#2146.6
34.6#1453P%#2430.6
71.0#240FT%—
40.5#1613PA rate#7542.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Gonzaga

Sat, Mar 21NTexas10L 68–74
Thu, Mar 19NKennesaw St.146W 73–64
Tue, Mar 10NSanta Clara86W 79–68
Mon, Mar 9NOregon St.93W 65–56
Sat, Feb 28ASaint Mary's74L 59–70

Utah St.

Sun, Mar 22NArizona5L 66–78
Fri, Mar 20NVillanova47W 86–76
Sat, Mar 14NSan Diego St.73W 73–62
Fri, Mar 13NNevada77W 79–66
Thu, Mar 12NUNLV89W 80–60