Model line
Boise St. −1.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Boise St. 58%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
58%Win probability42%
The model makes Boise St. a 1.9-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Boise St. offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Boise St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#261 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 52.2#134 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 16.9#190 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 33.2#85 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 42.7#22 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 9.8#217 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 49.5#255 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 52.7#139 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 34.3#155 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 78.7#9 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#107 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs Boise St. defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Boise St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #26166.6 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #25052.7 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #31814.5 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #323.6 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #10732.1 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #3445.9 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #2345.1 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #24553.3 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #20834.4 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #26636.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Boise St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | San Jose St.161 | L 74–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Colorado St.83 | W 78–67 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Diego St.73 | W 86–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Fresno St.180 | W 69–53 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Wyoming117 | W 72–62 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
