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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Fresno St. · #180 · P12 · 0–0Colorado St. · #83 · P12 · 0–0Sun, Jan 17 · 2:00 PM ETMoby Arena · Fort Collins, CO
Model line
Colorado St. −16.7
Win probability
Colorado St. 96%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Colorado St. home
4%Win probability96%

The model makes Colorado St. a 16.7-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Fresno St. offense vs Colorado St. defense

Fresno St. OStatColorado St. D
69.4#119Tempo#34664.4
50.6#206eFG%#26152.9
18.1#277TOV%#24915.5
27.9#271ORB%#12329.3
33.8#216FT rate#15534.2
9.8#219Block%#3186.8
49.9#242Assist%#4346.6
52.3#1542P%#28154.1
32.1#2753P%#19634.2
75.1#76FT%—
40.9#1463PA rate#7043.0

Colorado St. offense vs Fresno St. defense

Colorado St. OStatFresno St. D
64.4#346Tempo#11969.4
57.5#12eFG%#18551.5
18.5#297TOV%#8918.2
30.0#198ORB%#18530.6
39.4#71FT rate#3728.6
9.0#142Block%#3236.6
62.9#11Assist%#15851.5
57.1#292P%#32155.7
38.6#113P%#2730.7
77.0#33FT%—
49.1#193PA rate#4744.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Fresno St.

Wed, Mar 11NColorado St.83L 63–67
Sat, Mar 7AGrand Canyon42L 60–85
Tue, Mar 3HSan Jose St.161W 82–68
Sat, Feb 28HBoise St.71L 53–69
Tue, Feb 24AColorado St.83L 70–74

Colorado St.

Wed, Mar 18HSaint Joseph's125L 64–69
Thu, Mar 12NSan Diego St.73L 62–71
Wed, Mar 11NFresno St.180W 67–63
Sat, Mar 7HBoise St.71L 67–78
Wed, Mar 4ANew Mexico66W 82–74