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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Utah St. · #56 · P12 · 0–0Oregon St. · #93 · P12 · 0–0Sat, Jan 16 · 6:45 PM ETGill Coliseum · Corvallis, OR
Model line
Oregon St. −3.1
Win probability
Oregon St. 63%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Oregon St. home
37%Win probability63%

The model makes Oregon St. a 3.1-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Utah St. offense vs Oregon St. defense

Utah St. OStatOregon St. D
68.3#191Tempo#28666.2
56.6#16eFG%#11850.3
15.3#92TOV%#26815.3
33.2#87ORB%#26332.1
39.5#70FT rate#18035.1
9.6#204Block%#10410.7
60.0#32Assist%#27255.7
59.8#92P%#14251.0
34.6#1453P%#11532.9
71.0#240FT%—
40.5#1613PA rate#10941.5

Oregon St. offense vs Utah St. defense

Oregon St. OStatUtah St. D
66.2#286Tempo#19168.3
50.5#216eFG%#9149.8
17.7#252TOV%#1820.4
26.8#304ORB%#26032.0
43.1#21FT rate#27038.3
9.3#165Block%#2338.5
61.2#23Assist%#10849.8
48.8#2882P%#5248.5
35.0#1203P%#21534.4
77.2#30FT%—
44.3#853PA rate#12641.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Utah St.

Sun, Mar 22NArizona5L 66–78
Fri, Mar 20NVillanova47W 86–76
Sat, Mar 14NSan Diego St.73W 73–62
Fri, Mar 13NNevada77W 79–66
Thu, Mar 12NUNLV89W 80–60

Oregon St.

Mon, Mar 9NGonzaga17L 56–65
Sun, Mar 8NSan Francisco165W 78–77
Sat, Feb 28ASanta Clara86L 72–93
Wed, Feb 25HSan Diego157W 92–82
Sat, Feb 21HPepperdine154W 83–73