Model line
Gonzaga −15.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga 95%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Gonzaga home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Gonzaga a 15.4-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Boise St. offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Boise St. O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#261 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 52.2#134 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 16.9#190 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 33.2#85 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 42.7#22 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 9.8#217 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 49.5#255 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 52.7#139 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 34.3#155 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 78.7#9 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#107 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Gonzaga offense vs Boise St. defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Boise St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #26166.6 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #25052.7 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #31814.5 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #323.6 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #10732.1 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #3445.9 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #2345.1 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #24553.3 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #20834.4 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #26636.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Boise St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | San Jose St.161 | L 74–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Colorado St.83 | W 78–67 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Diego St.73 | W 86–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Fresno St.180 | W 69–53 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Wyoming117 | W 72–62 |
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
