Model line
Texas St. −6.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 74%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Texas St. a 6.0-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon St. offense vs Texas St. defense
| Oregon St. O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#286 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 50.5#216 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 17.7#252 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 26.8#304 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 43.1#21 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 9.3#165 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 61.2#23 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 48.8#288 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 35.0#120 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 77.2#30 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#85 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Oregon St. defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Oregon St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #28666.2 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #11850.3 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #26815.3 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #26332.1 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #18035.1 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #10410.7 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #27255.7 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #14251.0 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #11532.9 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #10941.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 56–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | San Francisco165 | W 78–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Santa Clara86 | L 72–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | San Diego157 | W 92–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Pepperdine154 | W 83–73 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
