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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Colorado St. · #83 · P12 · 0–0San Diego St. · #73 · P12 · 0–0Thu, Jan 14 · 9:00 PM ETViejas Arena · San Diego, CA
Model line
San Diego St. −8.2
Win probability
San Diego St. 81%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
San Diego St. home
19%Win probability81%

The model makes San Diego St. a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Colorado St. offense vs San Diego St. defense

Colorado St. OStatSan Diego St. D
64.4#346Tempo#13669.2
57.5#12eFG%#4248.2
18.5#297TOV%#1920.3
30.0#198ORB%#20931.1
39.4#71FT rate#27438.5
9.0#142Block%#815.3
62.9#11Assist%#32358.2
57.1#292P%#1846.2
38.6#113P%#16233.6
77.0#33FT%—
49.1#193PA rate#1247.3

San Diego St. offense vs Colorado St. defense

San Diego St. OStatColorado St. D
69.2#136Tempo#34664.4
52.7#117eFG%#26152.9
17.2#220TOV%#24915.5
29.5#220ORB%#12329.3
39.0#81FT rate#15534.2
6.2#4Block%#3186.8
54.4#130Assist%#4346.6
53.2#1222P%#28154.1
34.5#1503P%#19634.2
73.0#171FT%—
33.8#3013PA rate#7043.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Colorado St.

Wed, Mar 18HSaint Joseph's125L 64–69
Thu, Mar 12NSan Diego St.73L 62–71
Wed, Mar 11NFresno St.180W 67–63
Sat, Mar 7HBoise St.71L 67–78
Wed, Mar 4ANew Mexico66W 82–74

San Diego St.

Sat, Mar 14NUtah St.56L 62–73
Fri, Mar 13NNew Mexico66W 64–62
Thu, Mar 12NColorado St.83W 71–62
Fri, Mar 6HUNLV89W 89–86
Tue, Mar 3ABoise St.71L 77–86