Model line
Texas St. −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 57%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
43%Win probability57%
The model makes Texas St. a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Utah St. offense vs Texas St. defense
| Utah St. O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#191 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 56.6#16 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 15.3#92 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 33.2#87 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 39.5#70 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 9.6#204 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 60.0#32 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 59.8#9 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 34.6#145 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 71.0#240 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#161 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Utah St. defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Utah St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #19168.3 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #9149.8 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #1820.4 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #26032.0 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #27038.3 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #2338.5 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #10849.8 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #5248.5 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #21534.4 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #12641.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Utah St.
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Arizona5 | L 66–78 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Villanova47 | W 86–76 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | San Diego St.73 | W 73–62 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Nevada77 | W 79–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UNLV89 | W 80–60 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
